{"id":9441,"date":"2026-08-02T17:28:26","date_gmt":"2026-08-02T09:28:26","guid":{"rendered":"\/jase\/?post_type=tkuisotope&#038;p=9441"},"modified":"2026-08-14T14:03:11","modified_gmt":"2026-08-14T06:03:11","slug":"jase-202611-34-001","status":"publish","type":"tkuisotope","link":"\/jase\/?tkuisotope=jase-202611-34-001","title":{"rendered":"Understanding Energy Saving Potential in Built and Industrial Systems for Enabling Cost Reduction and Environmental Sustainability"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<div class=\"wp-block-tkuwpbs5-bs5-row row article-info\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-tkuwpbs5-bs5-column col-md-3 align-self-start\">\n<p><i class=\"fa fa-folder\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/i>&nbsp;<a href=\"\/jase\/?page_id=807\" data-type=\"page\" data-id=\"807\">2026<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-tkuwpbs5-bs5-column col-md-3 align-self-start\">\n<p><i class=\"fa fa-folder-open\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/i>&nbsp;<a href=\"\/jase\/?page_id=9439\" data-type=\"page\" data-id=\"9439\">Volume 34<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-tkuwpbs5-bs5-column col-md-6 align-self-start\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-tkuwpbs5-bs5-div dv_publish\" data-aos=\"normal\"><div class=\"wp-block-post-date\"><time datetime=\"2026-08-02T17:28:26+08:00\">2026-08-02<\/time><\/div><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-tkuwpbs5-bs5-row row\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-tkuwpbs5-bs5-column col-md-5 align-self-start\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-tkuwpbs5-bs5-div au-ol\" data-aos=\"normal\">\n<p>Jing Shi<a href=\"mailto:fwzyqsl@126.com\"><i class=\"fa fa-envelope\"><\/i><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"font-size:14px\">Department of Engineering Management, Henan Technical College of Construction, Zhengzhou 450064, Henan, China<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-tkuwpbs5-bs5-div\" style=\"margin-top:var(--wp--preset--spacing--40)\" data-aos=\"normal\">\n<p>Received: November 10, 2025<br>Accepted:&nbsp;April 29, 2026<br>Publication Date:&nbsp;August 02, 2026<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-tkuwpbs5-bs5-column col-md-7 align-self-start clk=\u5716\u7247\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/jase\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/34_001.jpg\" class=\"img-fluid img-fluid mx-auto d-block\" alt=\"\u4e0a\u50b3\u5716\u7247\">\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">SHAP summary plot for the&nbsp;best-performing&nbsp;model.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-small-font-size\"><i class=\"fab fa-creative-commons\"><\/i>&nbsp;<strong>Copyright&nbsp;<\/strong>The Author(s). This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the&nbsp;<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by\/4.0\/\" target=\"_blank\">Creative Commons Attribution&nbsp;License (CC BY 4.0)<\/a>, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are cited.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Download Citation:&nbsp; <a href=\"\/jase\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/V34.0001.txt\" data-type=\"attachment\" data-id=\"9445\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">BibTeX <\/a>| <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"http:\/\/dx.doi.org\/10.6180\/jase.202611_34.001\" target=\"_blank\">http:\/\/dx.doi.org\/10.6180\/jase.202611_34.001<\/a>&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"btn btn-primary article-btn\"><a href=\"\/jase\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/001_2025_1743_V34-1.pdf\" data-type=\"attachment\" data-id=\"9898\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Download PDF<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:24px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Energy conservation emerged as a global priority due to rising energy demand, environmental concerns, and the share of industrial and urban sectors in consumption. Energy-saving potential requires exact prediction because this information enables the creation of efficient retrofit methods and sustainable energy policy frameworks. This study develops and evaluates predictive models for estimating energy-saving potential using a dataset of 2,191 aggregated daily samples derived from 52,584 raw measurements. The dataset includes 29 input variables, with feature selection performed through the Variance Inflation Factor (VIF) analysis to address multicollinearity. Three Machine Learning (ML) models, Extra Trees Regression (ETR), Quantile Regression (QR), and Stochastic Gradient Boosting (SGB), are implemented and optimized using two metaheuristic algorithms, the Kepler Optimization Algorithm (KOA) and the Gazelle Optimization Algorithm (GOA). Model performance is assessed via 5-fold cross-validation and evaluated using R\u00b2, RMSE, COV, PI, MAE, and MARD metrics, along with runtime analysis. Statistical robustness is ensured through the Wilcoxon test, while SHAP analysis was performed on the best-performing model to identify the most influential features driving energy-saving potential. The best-performing model was SGKA (KOA-optimized SGB), which achieved the highest accuracy (R\u00b2 = 0.975) and the lowest RMSE (0.162), along with the smallest MAE and MARD values in the test phase. Optimized ensemble learning methods produce both precise and dependable, and easily understood prediction results, according to the research findings. The research field will progress through the development of hybrid physics\u2013data systems and deep learning methods, and real-time prediction systems. These will include occupant behavior analysis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Keywords:&nbsp;Energy-saving potential; Machine learning; Extra trees regression; Quantile regression; Wilcoxon test<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:2rem\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-tkuwpbs5-bs5-div ref_ol\" data-aos=\"normal\">\n<ol>\n<li>[1] A. Shahsavari and M. Akbari, (2018) \u201cPotential of solar energy in developing countries for reducing energy-related emissions\u201d Renewable and sustainable energy reviews 90: 275\u2013291. DOI: 10.1016\/j.rser.2018.03.065.<\/li>\n<li>[2] M. M. Bah and M. Y. Saari, (2020) \u201cQuantifying the impacts of energy price reform on living expenses in Saudi Arabia\u201d Energy Policy 139: 111352. DOI: 10.1016\/j.enpol.2020.111352.<\/li>\n<li>[3] A. Allouhi, Y. E. Fouih, T. Kousksou, A. Jamil, Y. Zeraouli, and Y. Mourad, (2015) \u201cEnergy consumption and efficiency in buildings: current status and future trends\u201d Journal of Cleaner production 109: 118\u2013130. DOI: 10.1016\/j.jclepro.2015.05.139.<\/li>\n<li>[4] A. Martos, R. Pacheco-Torres, J. Ord\u00f3\u00f1ez, and E. Jadraque-Gago, (2016) \u201cTowards successful environmental performance of sustainable cities: Intervening sectors. A review\u201d Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 57: 479\u2013495. DOI: 10.1016\/j.rser.2015.12.095.<\/li>\n<li>[5] B. Lin and J. Zhu, (2019) \u201cImpact of energy saving and emission reduction policy on urban sustainable development: Empirical evidence from China\u201d Applied Energy 239: 12\u201322. DOI: 10.1016\/j.apenergy.2019.01.166.<\/li>\n<li>[6] S. A. H. Zaidi, M. Hussain, and Q. U. Zaman, (2021) \u201cDynamic linkages between financial inclusion and carbon emissions: evidence from selected OECD countries\u201d Resources, Environment and Sustainability 4: 100022. 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DOI: 10.1016\/j.resenv.2022.100065.<\/li>\n<li>[11] F. J. Mont\u00e1ns, F. Chinesta, R. G\u00f3mez-Bombarelli, and J. N. Kutz, (2019) \u201cData-driven modeling and learning in science and engineering\u201d Comptes Rendus M\u00e9canique 347: 845\u2013855. DOI: 10.1016\/j.crme.2019.11.009.<\/li>\n<li>[12] X. Yang, S. Liu, Y. Zou, W. Ji, Q. Zhang, A. Ahmed, X. Han, Y. Shen, and S. Zhang, (2022) \u201cEnergy-saving potential prediction models for large-scale building: A state-of-the-art review\u201d Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 156: 111992. DOI: 10.1016\/j.rser.2021.111992.<\/li>\n<li>[13] P. Shen, Z. Wang, and Y. Ji, (2021) \u201cExploring potential for residential energy saving in New York using developed lightweight prototypical building models based on survey data in the past decades\u201d Sustainable Cities and Society 66: 102659. DOI: 10.1016\/j.scs.2020.102659.<\/li>\n<li>[14] J. Ko, J. Park, and J.-W. Jeong, (2021) \u201cEnergy saving potential of a model-predicted frost prevention method for energy recovery ventilators\u201d Applied Thermal Engineering 185: 116450. DOI: 10.1016\/j.applthermaleng.2020.116450.<\/li>\n<li>[15] Y. Xu, J. Winter, and W.-C. Lee. \u201cPrediction-based strategies for energy saving in object tracking sensor networks\u201d. In: IEEE International Conference on Mobile Data Management, 2004. Proceedings. 2004. IEEE, 2004, 346\u2013357. DOI: 10.1109\/MDM.2004.1263084.<\/li>\n<li>[16] T. M. Chung and J. Burnett, (2001) \u201cOn the prediction of lighting energy savings achieved by occupancy sensors\u201d Energy engineering 98: 6\u201323. DOI: 10.1080\/01998590109509317.<\/li>\n<li>[17] W. Kleiminger, S. Santini, and F. Mattern. Simulating the energy savings potential in domestic heating scenarios in Switzerland. 2014. DOI: 10.3929\/ethz-a-010193004.<\/li>\n<li>[18] H.-I. Cho, D. Cabrera, and M. K. 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Nocedal, (2018) &#8220;Optimization methods for large-scale machine learning&#8221; SIAM review 60: 223\u2013311. DOI: 10.1137\/16M1080173.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"template":"wp-custom-template-detail-4-aricles","meta":{"_uag_custom_page_level_css":""},"categories":[12,1682,6],"tags":[1683],"acf":[],"uagb_featured_image_src":[],"uagb_author_info":{"display_name":"\u6797\u923a\u6db5","author_link":"\/jase\/?author=3"},"uagb_comment_info":0,"uagb_excerpt":"&nbsp;Copyright&nbsp;The Author(s). This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the&nbsp;Creative Commons Attribution&nbsp;License (CC BY 4.0), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are cited. Download Citation:&nbsp; BibTeX | http:\/\/dx.doi.org\/10.6180\/jase.202611_34.001&nbsp;&nbsp; Download PDF Energy conservation emerged as a global priority due to rising energy&hellip;","_links":{"self":[{"href":"\/jase\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/tkuisotope\/9441"}],"collection":[{"href":"\/jase\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/tkuisotope"}],"about":[{"href":"\/jase\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/tkuisotope"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"\/jase\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"\/jase\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=9441"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"\/jase\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=9441"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"\/jase\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=9441"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}