{"id":10181,"date":"2026-08-17T21:28:28","date_gmt":"2026-08-17T13:28:28","guid":{"rendered":"\/jase\/?post_type=tkuisotope&#038;p=10181"},"modified":"2026-08-17T23:59:38","modified_gmt":"2026-08-17T15:59:38","slug":"jase-202611-34-050","status":"publish","type":"tkuisotope","link":"\/jase\/?tkuisotope=jase-202611-34-050","title":{"rendered":"Prediction of Wind Power Using an Optimized Ensemble Machine Learning Model"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<div class=\"wp-block-tkuwpbs5-bs5-row row article-info\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-tkuwpbs5-bs5-column col-md-3 align-self-start\">\n<p><i class=\"fa fa-folder\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/i>&nbsp;<a href=\"\/jase\/?page_id=807\" data-type=\"page\" data-id=\"807\">2026<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-tkuwpbs5-bs5-column col-md-3 align-self-start\">\n<p><i class=\"fa fa-folder-open\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/i>&nbsp;<a href=\"\/jase\/?page_id=9439\" data-type=\"page\" data-id=\"9439\">Volume 34<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-tkuwpbs5-bs5-column col-md-6 align-self-start\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-tkuwpbs5-bs5-div dv_publish\" data-aos=\"normal\"><div class=\"wp-block-post-date\"><time datetime=\"2026-08-17T21:28:28+08:00\">2026-08-17<\/time><\/div><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-tkuwpbs5-bs5-row row\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-tkuwpbs5-bs5-column col-md-5 align-self-start\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-tkuwpbs5-bs5-div au-ol\" data-aos=\"normal\">\n<p>Arangarajan Vinayagam<sup>1<\/sup><a href=\"mailto:arajanin@gmail.com\"><i class=\"fa fa-envelope\"><\/i><\/a>, Kavitha M V<sup>2<\/sup>, Deepa A<sup>3<\/sup>, Senthil Kumar H<sup>4<\/sup>, Arivoli Sundaramurthy<sup>5<\/sup>, and Saravanan K<sup>6<\/sup><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"font-size:14px\"><sup>1<\/sup>Department of Electrical and Electronics Engineering, New Horizon College of Engineering, Bangalore, India<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"font-size:14px\"><sup>2<\/sup>Department of Electronics and Communication Engineering, Cambridge Institute of Technology, Bangalore, India<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"font-size:14px\"><sup>3<\/sup>Department of Electronics and Communication Engineering, Gopalan College of Engineering and Management, Bangalore, India<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"font-size:14px\"><sup>4<\/sup>Department of Computer Science and Engineering, Presidency University, Bangalore, India<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"font-size:14px\"><sup>5<\/sup>Department of Electrical and Electronics Engineering, PSG Institute of Technology and Applied Research, Coimbatore, India<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"font-size:14px\"><sup>6<\/sup>Department of Electrical and Electronics Engineering, SRM Institute of Science and Technology, Kattankulathur-603203,<br>Chengalpattu, Tamil Nadu, India<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-tkuwpbs5-bs5-div\" style=\"margin-top:var(--wp--preset--spacing--40)\" data-aos=\"normal\">\n<p>Received: May 07, 2026<br>Accepted:&nbsp;June 02, 2026<br>Publication Date:&nbsp;August 17, 2026<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-tkuwpbs5-bs5-column col-md-7 align-self-start clk=\u5716\u7247\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/jase\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/34_050.jpg\" class=\"img-fluid img-fluid mx-auto d-block\" alt=\"\u4e0a\u50b3\u5716\u7247\">\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">Process&nbsp;Steps&nbsp;of GS-CV&nbsp;Strategy&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-small-font-size\"><i class=\"fab fa-creative-commons\"><\/i>&nbsp;<strong>Copyright&nbsp;<\/strong>The Author(s). This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the&nbsp;<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by\/4.0\/\" target=\"_blank\">Creative Commons Attribution&nbsp;License (CC BY 4.0)<\/a>, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are cited.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Download Citation:\u00a0 <a href=\"\/jase\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/V34.0050.txt\" data-type=\"attachment\" data-id=\"9812\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">BibTeX <\/a>| <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"http:\/\/dx.doi.org\/10.6180\/jase.202611_34.050\" target=\"_blank\">http:\/\/dx.doi.org\/10.6180\/jase.202611_34.050<\/a>\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"btn btn-primary article-btn\"><a href=\"\/jase\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/050_2026_1144_V34.pdf\" data-type=\"attachment\" data-id=\"10172\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Download PDF<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:24px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Wind power forecasting is very crucial to ensure stable renewable energy (RE) integration and the stability of power systems. In this research work, several machine learning (ML) models, such as linear regression (LR), random forest (RF), gradient boosting (GB), extreme GB (XGBoost), and grid search cross-validation (GS-CV) optimized XFGBoost are analyzed in terms of their performance for wind power forecasting using a real-life large dataset having weather and temporal features. Performance of these models is analyzed using metrics such as mean absolute error (MAE), root mean square error (RMSE), and correlation factor (R2). It is found that XGBoost with GS-CV approach consistently performs better than other models with the minimum prediction error and maximum R<sup>2<\/sup> value. The results show that hyperparameter-optimized XGBoost can greatly enhance forecasting accuracy and generalization, providing a practical data-driven solution for wind power forecasting and decision-making.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Keywords:&nbsp;Renewable Energy, Machine Learning, Gradient Boosting, Extreme Gradient Boosting, Random Forest, Wind Power Prediction<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:2rem\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-tkuwpbs5-bs5-div ref_ol\" data-aos=\"normal\">\n<div class=\"container\">\n<div id=\"model-response-message-contentr_53180f64958e6cc2\" class=\"markdown markdown-main-panel md-content enable-luminous-fast-follows enable-updated-hr-color stronger\" dir=\"ltr\" aria-busy=\"false\" aria-live=\"polite\">\n<ol>\n<li data-path-to-node=\"0\">[1] E. A. Tuncar, \u015e. Sa\u011flam, and B. Oral, (2024) \u201c<i data-path-to-node=\"0\" data-index-in-node=\"50\">A Review of Short-Term Wind Power Generation Forecasting Methods in Recent Technological Trends<\/i>\u201d <b data-path-to-node=\"0\" data-index-in-node=\"147\">Energy Reports 12<\/b>: 197\u2013209. DOI: 10.1016\/j.egyr.2024.01.12.3.<\/li>\n<li data-path-to-node=\"0\">[2] H. R. Alsamamra, S. Salah, and J. H. Shoqeir, (2024) \u201c<i data-path-to-node=\"0\" data-index-in-node=\"267\">Performance Analysis of ARIMA Model for Wind Speed Forecasting in Jerusalem, Palestine<\/i>\u201d <b data-path-to-node=\"0\" data-index-in-node=\"355\">Energy Exploration &amp; Exploitation 42<\/b>(5): 1727\u20131746. DOI: 10.1177\/01445987241234567.<\/li>\n<li data-path-to-node=\"0\">[3] A. Alkesaiberi, F. Harrou, and Y. 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This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the&nbsp;Creative Commons Attribution&nbsp;License (CC BY 4.0), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are cited. Download Citation:\u00a0 BibTeX | http:\/\/dx.doi.org\/10.6180\/jase.202611_34.050\u00a0\u00a0 Download PDF Wind power forecasting is very crucial to ensure stable renewable energy&hellip;","_links":{"self":[{"href":"\/jase\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/tkuisotope\/10181"}],"collection":[{"href":"\/jase\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/tkuisotope"}],"about":[{"href":"\/jase\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/tkuisotope"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"\/jase\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"\/jase\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=10181"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"\/jase\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=10181"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"\/jase\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=10181"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}